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Synthetik Urges Engineering-Based PML for Data Centres
Tuesday, Jun 16, 2026
Dominant theme: conventional political violence/terrorism (PV/T) templates can understate losses at data centres, so Synthetik advocates engineering-based probable maximum loss (PML) analysis.
In its whitepaper, “Quantifying Political Violence and Terrorism Risk in Data Centres,” Synthetik warns that rockets, missiles and uncrewed aerial systems create hazards poorly represented by templates and that whether blast effects breach a building causes a step change in loss severity—so underwriters should focus on explicit hazard‑to‑structure interaction given the large implications for underwriting, pricing and portfolio management.
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1. Synthetik urges engineering-based PML for data centre political-violence risk
Synthetik Insurance Technologies warns conventional political violence and terrorism (PV/T) models can understate data‑centre losses and recommends an engineering‑based probable maximum loss (PML) approach.
In its whitepaper, “Quantifying Political Violence and Terrorism Risk in Data Centres”, the firm says data centres are critical infrastructure whose concentrated internal assets make them uniquely vulnerable when blast effects penetrate buildings rather than remaining external.
The paper explains that weapons such as rockets, missiles and uncrewed aerial systems introduce hazards poorly represented by template models and that whether explosive effects stay outside or breach the structure produces a step change in loss severity.
Synthetik calls for PMLs that explicitly represent hazard‑to‑structure interaction because small scenario changes can yield disproportionately large damage and operational loss, with direct implications for underwriting, pricing and portfolio management.
Key facts:
- Synthetik Insurance Technologies published the whitepaper cited in the article.
- Whitepaper titled: “Quantifying Political Violence and Terrorism Risk in Data Centres.”
- Traditional PV/T models may miss step-change losses from internal structural breaches.
- Identifies rockets, missiles and uncrewed aerial systems as emerging, underrepresented hazards.
- Distinction between external airblast and internal penetration drives very different loss profiles.
Why it matters: For insurers, brokers and reinsurers this means model, underwriting and pricing practices must consider building form and penetration risk rather than geography alone.
Data‑centre owners and operators will need to prioritise structural resilience—roof, façade and construction materials—because those features change loss outcomes materially.
Watch for broader adoption of engineering‑based PMLs, renewed emphasis on structural assessments in risk due diligence, and related shifts in coverage terms and portfolio allocation.